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Climate
$760,000 Vol · Closes Jan 31, 2027

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

52%Yes chance

Outcomes

Yes
52%52¢
No
48%48¢

Rules

Resolves YES if 2026 sets a new global mean surface temperature record per NASA GISS or NOAA.
Condition: 0x814c1443fa302d58ab1c6f76c74065ea4e4ae9de7bf18b6d6f8477dfc2a6a013

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